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Prediction of Naoki Nakagawa [353rd] vs Sanhui Shin [630th] Head-to-Head At The 2025 Busan Challenger (04-13-25)

By Wojtek Kolan - April 13, 2025

Hard COURT
Monday
03:00 AM (CET)
Kolkata
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Nakagawa vs. Shin Prediction

Derived from the implied probability from the moneyline, Nakagawa has a 53.27% chance to win.

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Prediction Chance To Win
Naoki Nakagawa 53.27 %
Sanhui Shin 52.15 %

Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.

Head To Head: Nakagawa 1 - 0 Shin

Nakagawa and Shin have faced off in 3 sets, with Nakagawa winning 2 and Shin 1. Their last encounter was at the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger on January 5, 2025, where Nakagawa triumphed in the Q1 round on a hard court, winning 3-6, 6-4, 6-3. Who do you think will take the next match?

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Naoki Nakagawa 1
Sanhui Shin 0
Nakagawa vs Shin H2H Profile
Nakagawa Stats Shin
46% (6-7) YTD Win/Loss 46% (6-7)
1 Head-to-Head 0
353 Ranking 630
334 Highest Rank 456
28 Age 28
R Plays R
6 Titles 3
61% (325-212) Career Total W/L 62% (136-82)
$0 Career Prize Money $0
0 YTD Titles 0
1 Hard H2H 0
0 Clay H2H 0
0 Indoor H2H 0
0 Grass H2H 0

Who Do Our Users Think Will Win?

Who will win?

Nakagawa
Shin
Vote Yourself To Show Results

MATCHSTAT.COM PREDICTION

Nakagawa VS Shin Hard

Busan Challenger atp

14 Apr 2025 / Q3

Naoki Nakagawa implied favourite from odds → 53.27%

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
Edge

Naoki Nakagawa

To Win

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Sanhui Shin

To Win

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Naoki Nakagawa

To Win first set

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Sanhui Shin

To Win first set

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Naoki Nakagawa

To win 2-0

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Sanhui Shin

To win 2-0

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Sanhui Shin

To win 2-1

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Naoki Nakagawa

To win 2-1

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over 20

Games

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Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Nakagawa VS Shin H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
3-6 6-4 6-3
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Sanhui Shin
45% ( 38 of 84)
1st Serve %
56% ( 57 of 102)
11
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
4
82% ( 31 of 38)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 41 of 57)
52% ( 24 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 20 of 45)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
35% ( 29 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 41 of 102)
96
Total Points Won
90

Nakagawa VS Shin H2H Stats

Nakagawa Vs Shin H2H Stats
Naoki Nakagawa Nakagawa Stats Sanhui Shin Shin
1 H2H Matches 0
2 Sets Won 1
15 Games Won 13
11 Aces (Total) 5
3 Total Double Faults 4
2:9:3 Average Match Time 2:9:3
45% (38/84) 1st Serve % 56% (57/102)
82% (31/38) 1st Serve Win % 72% (41/57)
52% (24/46) 2nd Serve Win % 44% (20/45)
38% (3/8) Break Points Won % (Total) 40% (2/5)
40% (41/102) Return Points Win % 35% (29/84)
100% (1/1) Best of 3 Sets Win % 0% (0/1)
0% (0/0) Best of 5 Sets Win % 0% (0/0)
0% (0/0) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 0% (0/0)
100% (1/1) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/1)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Won Match 0% (1/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 100% (1/1)
100% (1/1) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (0/0)

Current Event Stats

KOR

Busan Challenger

Hard
Nakagawa vs Shin Current Event Stats
Naoki Nakagawa Nakagawa Stats Sanhui Shin Shin
1 Total Matches 1
2:01:51 Last Match 1:24:43
2:01:51 Total Time 1:24:43
0.25 Aces Per Game 0.13
3 Aces Total 1
0.08 Double Faults Per Game 0.25
1 Total Double Faults 2
51% (47/92) 1st Serve % 70% (43/61)
66% (31/47) 1st Serve Win % 77% (33/43)
51% (23/45) 2nd Serve Win % 33% (6/18)
67% (4/6) Total Break Points Won % 80% (4/5)
79% (11/14) Total Break Points Saved 75% (3/4)
75% (9/12) Service Hold (%) 88% (7/8)
67% (8/12) Opponent Hold % 50% (4/8)
41% (31/75) Return Points Win % 50% (26/52)
51% (85/167) Total Points Won 58% (65/113)
0% (0/0) Tiebreak Win % 0% (0/0)
100% (1/1) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/0)
0.00 Tiebreaks Per Match 0.00
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Won Match 100% (1/1)
100% (1/1) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (0/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Naoki Nakagawa vs Sanhui Shin Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nakagawa 1 - 0 Shin

Editorial Prediction:

Here we have a classic showdown that promises to be as unpredictable as a cat on a hot tin roof. Nakagawa, with second serve precision of 48.01% in the last 6 months, seems to have the upper hand against Shin, who comes in with a second serve success rate of 44.47%. This stat indicates that Nakagawa might just have the secret sauce to edge out a win.

Now, let's boogie through the return game stats and see who’s really got their return mojo going. Nakagawa has managed to gobble up 43.66% of opponents' second serve points, while Shin has bettered this at a feisty 46.99%. On first serve, Shin impresses once more with a 29.78% return win, leaving Nakagawa slightly treading water at 25.4%. The stats here underline that Shin is quite adept at turning those returns into a brightly lit scoreboard.

Under pressure, Nakagawa performs a magical disappearing act, saving 50.63% of breakpoints like a wizard. Meanwhile, Shin clocks in at 44.07%—in need of an extra potion perhaps? When the opponents collide in pressure-packed situations, Nakagawa seems to have an extra ace up their sleeve.

Performance-wise over the last year, Nakagawa has been hitting the high notes, winning 60% of their matches in a moderately impressive display of tennis prowess. Shin doesn’t flail too far behind, with a respectable 56% match win rate. This sets the table for a spicy head-to-head smackdown.

When talking surfaces, Nakagawa favors indoor hard courts, striding across it with a win percentage of 61%. Shin, however, dances a can-can on clay, with a career-high of 72% wins. Their least favorite surfaces provide a bit of site-specific comedy: Nakagawa better stay off the clay with 60%, while Shin might want to steer clear of grass courts, registering a quivering 0%.

While Nakagawa frequents the Challenger/ITF circuit, netting a nifty 51.61% win rate, Shin has been cosplaying as Clay Warrior in the Futures/ITF tournaments, boasting 61.11%. It’s like a tennis version of David vs Goliath—with both pretending to be giants.

Direct face-offs have seen Nakagawa swing the pendulum—and their racket—triumphantly, winning their lone encounter against Shin at the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger. They’ve danced through three sets, with Nakagawa claiming two. Shin will surely want to change the music this time!

Time flies—or drags—when you have these players sharing the court. Their matches tend to be marathon ventures averaging at 2 hours, 9 minutes, and 3 seconds, perfect for a leisurely afternoon—or for hiding the remote.

In deciding set moments against all players, Nakagawa transforms into a tennis demigod, clutching victory 63% of the time. Shin’s luck dips slightly here, at 44%, and there's the fazed face as this match may go the distance.

While serving in the current tennis carnival, both players’ breakpoints tell a tale. Shin has demonstrated superior breakpoint conversion at 37.63%, likely giving his opponents a headache. Nakagawa holds steady with a 27.05% conversion rate—a stat not to be ignored for the ace-savvy punters.

So, with all the comedic chaos, err... data unfolding before us, it seems Nakagawa is the chap who might have the last laugh, based squarely on the stats. So, place your bets—or earplugs—and prepare for a rollicking ride of tennis theatrics!

Naoki Nakagawa Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Q1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Evgeny Karlovskiy
51% ( 47 of 92)
1st Serve %
65% ( 49 of 75)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
66% ( 31 of 47)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 30 of 49)
51% ( 23 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
21% ( 3 of 14)
41% ( 38 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 31 of 75)
85
Total Points Won
82
W
2-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Adrian Mannarino
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
62% ( 50 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 47 of 83)
4
Aces
11
2
Double Faults
5
74% ( 37 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 35 of 47)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 16 of 36)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
32% ( 26 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 32 of 83)
87
Total Points Won
77
L
3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Taiyo Yamanaka
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
42% ( 27 of 65)
7
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 18 of 27)
64% ( 14 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
27% ( 17 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 28 of 65)
73
Total Points Won
54
L
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Rannmaru Kozuma
52% ( 23 of 44)
1st Serve %
48% ( 24 of 50)
8
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 17 of 23)
1st Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 9 of 26)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
34% ( 15 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
34
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Christian Langmo
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
68% ( 57 of 84)
1st Serve %
57% ( 50 of 87)
13
Aces
13
2
Double Faults
1
82% ( 47 of 57)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
59% ( 16 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
25% ( 21 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 29 of 87)
92
Total Points Won
79
L
4-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Ajeet Rai
44% ( 30 of 68)
1st Serve %
68% ( 44 of 65)
3
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
2
87% ( 26 of 30)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 29 of 44)
58% ( 22 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 11 of 21)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
29% ( 20 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 25 of 65)
73
Total Points Won
60
W
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Kody Pearson
60% ( 49 of 82)
1st Serve %
75% ( 50 of 67)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
5
63% ( 31 of 49)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
52% ( 17 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
41% ( 34 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 31 of 67)
79
Total Points Won
70
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Collin Altamirano
49% ( 27 of 55)
1st Serve %
67% ( 30 of 45)
2
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
0
70% ( 19 of 27)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 19 of 30)
54% ( 15 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
38% ( 21 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 18 of 45)
52
Total Points Won
48
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Kousuke Ogura
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
76% ( 81 of 106)
1st Serve %
49% ( 45 of 91)
1
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
1
63% ( 51 of 81)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 33 of 45)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 25 of 46)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
38% ( 40 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 33 of 91)
99
Total Points Won
98
L
7-6(4) 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Marek Gengel
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
69% ( 35 of 51)
1st Serve %
49% ( 29 of 59)
6
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
2
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 23 of 29)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 11 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 23 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
47
L
6-4 6-3 H2H

Sanhui Shin Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Q1
cross
Sanhui Shin
Player
Yan Bai
70% ( 43 of 61)
1st Serve %
62% ( 32 of 52)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
33% ( 6 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 7 of 20)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
36% ( 22 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
65
Total Points Won
48
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Ryo Tabata
Player
Sanhui Shin
67% ( 54 of 81)
1st Serve %
65% ( 43 of 66)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
1
59% ( 32 of 54)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 22 of 43)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
47% ( 38 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 33 of 66)
76
Total Points Won
71
L
0-6 6-3 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Sanhui Shin
Player
Yuta Kawahashi
76% ( 51 of 67)
1st Serve %
67% ( 48 of 72)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 25 of 48)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
36% ( 24 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 34 of 72)
77
Total Points Won
62
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Tai Sach
Player
Sanhui Shin
52% ( 27 of 52)
1st Serve %
56% ( 28 of 50)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
78% ( 21 of 27)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 16 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 25 of 50)
61
Total Points Won
41
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Cruz Hewitt
Player
Sanhui Shin
49% ( 44 of 90)
1st Serve %
62% ( 61 of 98)
6
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
7
64% ( 28 of 44)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 41 of 61)
54% ( 25 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 15 of 37)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
41% ( 37 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 42 of 98)
95
Total Points Won
93
L
7-6(1) 1-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Sanhui Shin
Player
Ajeet Rai
78% ( 35 of 45)
1st Serve %
76% ( 29 of 38)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
69% ( 24 of 35)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 15 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 23 of 38)
53
Total Points Won
30
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Sanhui Shin
Player
Moerani Bouzige
63% ( 43 of 68)
1st Serve %
57% ( 30 of 53)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
67% ( 29 of 43)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 19 of 30)
44% ( 11 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 7 of 23)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
41% ( 28 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 27 of 53)
67
Total Points Won
54
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Sanhui Shin
Player
Alexander Klintcharov
66% ( 53 of 80)
1st Serve %
79% ( 75 of 95)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
60% ( 32 of 53)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 48 of 75)
74% ( 20 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
35% ( 28 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 37 of 95)
89
Total Points Won
86
W
6-4 3-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Ajeet Rai
Player
Sanhui Shin
52% ( 44 of 85)
1st Serve %
64% ( 54 of 84)
6
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
2
73% ( 32 of 44)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 39 of 54)
61% ( 25 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 28 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 32 of 84)
89
Total Points Won
80
L
3-6 6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Sanhui Shin
Player
Kousuke Ogura
64% ( 49 of 76)
1st Serve %
64% ( 47 of 73)
3
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
0
67% ( 33 of 49)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 28 of 47)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 17 of 26)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 28 of 73)
72
Total Points Won
77
W
2-6 6-3 6-4 H2H

Where To Watch Nakagawa vs Shin?

When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Nakagawa Vs Shin is now available here.

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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Nakagawa & Shin Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Naoki Nakagawa Nakagawa Stats Sanhui Shin Shin
61% (193/124) Win/Loss 61% (103/65)
58% (429/308) Sets Win/Loss 59% (229/156)
53% (3716/3296) Games Win/Loss 54% (1904/1602)
0.38 Aces Per Game 0.18
1301 Aces Total 303
0.19 Double Faults Per Game 0.17
653 Total Double Faults 289
1:27:34 Average Match Time 1:27:49
488.38 Average Opponent Rank 500.4
57% (10379/18131) 1st Serve % 66% (6300/9605)
70% (7298/10379) 1st Serve Win % 66% (4138/6300)
51% (3937/7752) 2nd Serve Win % 50% (1639/3305)
42% (771/1819) Break Points Won % (Total) 49% (507/1033)
40% (7237/18226) Return Points Win % 43% (4073/9514)
61% (191/314) Best of 3 Sets Win % 63% (100/160)
50% (1/2) Best of 5 Sets Win % 67% (2/3)
52% (47/90) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 46% (19/41)
58% (59/102) Deciding Set Win % 55% (28/51)
88% (176/155) 1st Set Won, Won Match 85% (99/84)
12% (176/21) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 12% (99/12)
27% (141/38) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 28% (69/19)

See recent tennis photos of Nakagawa and Shin

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